Merlin

乔治奥威尔1948年写了不朽的《1984》，在1984年真的发生了很多有趣的事情。

这一年Mario Cuomo在DNC上做了keynote speech【全美20世纪最伟大的演讲排名第11】，这人的口音非常特别，一听之下决不能忘记，因为。。。和偶像——Al Pacino的声音一模一样，注意，是一模一样，不是几乎一模一样，而是identical。去听1984年的这个名为《A tale of two cities》的演说，再听听那部《scent of a woman》中的礼堂盲人演说，你一定认为这是同一个人干的。1996年纽约时报评论Al Pacino主演的《city hall》影片时这么说：

FILM: Mayor John Pappas (played by Al Pacino) is a dramatic, compassionate, overwrought politician who wants to be effective and talks about New York City's greatness: "It was a palace! It can be a palace again!"

FACT: The closest to the emotive Pappas is Mario M. Cuomo, the silver-tongued former Governor. Not that it's hard to imagine Edward I. Koch or Fiorello H. La Guardia being as headstrong as Pappas. Or Rudolph W. Guiliani, who has also been known to be willful on occasion.

1984年，Geraldine Ferraro获得美国历史上第一个女副总统提名并参加竞选，她接受提名的演说也成为美国20世纪数得着的名家演讲【排名第58】。不幸的是，她和搭档Walter Mondale最后仅仅获得了明尼苏达一个州的选举人票，共计538张选举人票中只得了区区13票。对手是谁？——里根和老布什这对搭档，用中文词形容叫做“囊括”。Ferraro后来两次竞选参议员失败，看来女人在美国还是很难真正成功的。再后来，她到克林顿手下负责人权事务，跟中国没少掺和。2008年又为希拉里竞选出力，可惜，一个失败的女竞选人的经验并没有助希拉里成功，美国的女总统看来还要加以时日。

4年以后Ann Richards在DNC发表了同样著名的keynote speech，这次演讲全美排名第38，不是特别考前，可惜，布什连任了，民主党又败了。但是Ann这次演讲一战成名，91～95年成为德州历史上第二个女州长，1994年竞选连任被小布什干翻在地——果然小布什踩着Ann后来登顶了。88年的这次是我最喜欢的两个美国名人演讲之一。还有一个，不是那个排名第一的《I have a dream》，而是Barbara Jordan的1976年的DNC Keynote speech【全美排名第5，这也被历史学家认为是2004年奥巴马演讲出现之前美国最好的convention keynote speech】，顺便说一句，Barbara Jordan是美国历史上第一个女黑人议员、第一个非裔美国议员,也是德州人，92年克林顿上台后曾想提名她为大法官，由于健康原因作罢，她也被盛传为女同性恋——这个很自然的，去听了她的演说就明白了。美国人很尊敬她，很大程度上是因为她不仅代表了黑人，还代表了女人，有文化，演说能力在上个世纪如日中天，正如Max Sherman的书名：Barbara Jordan — Speaking the Truth with Eloquent Thunder。当然，2008年希拉里差一点成为第一个女总统，后来成了第一个女国务卿，也不错【希拉里在95年北京妇女大会的演讲排名第35，她老公克林顿95年于俄克拉荷马大爆炸后的演说排名第92】。88年的是老奸巨猾、字正腔圆、用词遣句均登峰造极，76年的是充满激情和理想，民主党真是出女能人啊。

全美20世纪前100名演讲中，有5个是1984年的。

1984年，乔丹第一次出现在NBA选秀上，同时还有奥拉朱旺、巴克利和斯托克顿，这4人共拿了7次MVP。

1984年，俺们国家第一次出阵奥运会，新中国拿了第一块金牌。

1984年，国庆35周年，第一次大学生打出“小平你好”标语；

这一年，俺8岁了，干什么去了已经忘了。

哦，对了，这一年李宇春出生了。。。

（写这篇的缘起是因为俺最近无聊地在听Top 100 American Speeches of the 20th century，扒拉扒拉觉得很有意思）

       喜开颜                             一失足成千古恨                   我掰我掰我掰掰掰                      唉，我这招风耳。。。

   对不起，我心情不好！                   凭栏处                                    别碰我玩具！                  这表情，一般人我不表演给他看！

             妹妹，借个肩膀靠靠！                             你偷拍我们！                            双立人                         演示一下“百感交集”

        我讨厌拉郎配！                   回眸，一笑的没有！                  流口水都这么帅                  不好意思，没钱是万万不行滴

1）最后一张是周岁生日晚上抓周拍的，本来要抓个鼠标起来，我心里一急，大声一喝，嘿嘿，女儿立刻改抓百元大钞啦！

2）照片大都是LP用A710拍的，离单反果然距离不小，不过本着整体为上、少而精的原则，目前的装备我还是基本满意的。

Ten little Indians going out to dine;

One went and choked his little self and then there were nine.

Nine little Indian boys sat up very late;
One overslept himself and then there were eight.

Eight little Indian boys traveling to Devon;
One got left behind and then there were seven.

Seven little Indian boys gathering up sticks;
One chopped himself in half and then there were six.

Six little Indian boys playing with a hive;
A bumblebee stung one and then there were five.

Five little Indian boys going in for law;
One got in chancery and 
Then there were four.

Four little Indian boys going out to sea;
A red herring swallowed one and then there were three.

Three little Indian boys walking to the zoo;
A big bear hugged one and then there were two.

Two little Indians playing with a gun;
One shot the other and then there was one.

One little Indian boy left all alone;
He went and hanged himself 
...and then there were none. 

偶像刚从格尔木回来，驱车7000公里，3司机一小孩，可惜去拉萨半路折返，未能竟全功。西部风光，半晌述说，令人心旷神怡，无限神往。
特破例贴词一首，据说是行车之人最佳的伴侣歌曲。

阵阵晚风吹动着松涛
吹响这风铃声如天籁
站在这城市的寂静处
让一切喧嚣走远

只有青山藏在白云间
蝴蝶自由穿行在清涧
看那晚霞盛开在天边
有一群向西归鸟

谁画出这天地
又画下我和你
让我们的世界绚丽多彩
谁让我们哭泣
又给我们惊喜
让我们就这样相爱相遇
总是要说再见
相聚又分离
总是走在漫长的路上

啦···啦···啦···

只有青山藏在白云间
蝴蝶自由穿行在清涧
看那晚霞盛开在天边
有一群向西归鸟

谁画出这天地
又画下我和你
让我们的世界绚丽多彩
谁让我们哭泣
又给我们惊喜
让我们就这样相爱相遇
总是要说再见
相聚又分离
总是走在漫长的路上

又及，许巍的歌我最喜欢三首：《蓝莲花》、《礼物》和这首《旅行》。

Monica Hendrix说了如下一番独特的见解：

Many novice traders like to pay attention to the huge amount of online news stories and try and trade off the information contained, however, this is a huge mistake and one that is guaranteed to make you lose.
If you don’t believe the above consider this fact:
The ratio of winners and losers today, is the same as it was 50 years ago.
This is despite the advances in news and distribution and all the other tools that traders have available to them – the ratio has remained the same.
Why?
Because they don’t help you win!
Think about it – if traders made money listening and acting on news stories, then they would all be rich and this is not the case.
Sure, the stories and arguments sound convincing, but that’s all they are opinions and stories and the people giving these stories and opinions are NOT traders.
The market is a discounting mechanism and quickly reflects all news instantly – it’s discounted and the market is looking to the future.
Trade the news and Your Trading The Past.
Also, if you listen to the news you will let your emotions get involved and trade with the herd and this is a bad place to be – most lose!
Keep in mind that the market news is most bullish at market tops, remember 1987 and the tech stock bubble? Well, when they crashed the news was out and out bullish.
The best way to trade is to ignore the news and use a technical approach to trading. By doing this, you will see the reality of price as it is and act on it - this will keep your emotions out of your forex trading.
Will Rogers once said:
“I only believe what I read in the papers"
He was joking of course, but most traders base their forex trading signals on what they have seen in the news and then wonder why they lose.
There is a huge amount of news online, on TV and in the papers, telling you what has happened and for this its very good, however for telling you what is going to happen, it is of no use at all.
So if you want to win in online forex - trading don’t pay attention to the news!

可是在A股中，不看消息，该怎么炒股呢？